Atlético Bucaramanga vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
BUC
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
RIO
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CUC
2 - 0
BUC
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 1
BUC
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 3
AME
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RSC
1 - 1
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
BOG
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |