Atlético Bucaramanga vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
BUC
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 0
BUC
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
AME
27%
25%
47%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAS
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 2
COR
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
AME
1 - 4
ALI
66%
19%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 1
TFC
71%
19%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |