Atlético Bucaramanga vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
ALI
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 1
BUC
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
BUC
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 2
BUC
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 1
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
ALI
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAT
19%
26%
56%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
CUC
3 - 1
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
PAT
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 1
RIO
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |