Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-3
Atl. Bembibre vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Bembibre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
CAB
3 - 0
HUL
68%
20%
12%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
SDA
2 - 1
CAB
55%
26%
19%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
CAB
3 - 0
CDF
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
CAB
1 - 3
VDB
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAB
46%
27%
27%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
LOG
0 - 0
PON
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
PON
0 - 0
ASP
47%
29%
24%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
SPB
1 - 0
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
PON
2 - 2
NUM
57%
26%
18%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
LAL
0 - 1
PON
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |