Atl. Bembibre vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
9º
14º
10º
61
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Bembibre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
CAB
81%
14%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAB
1 - 1
NUM
38%
26%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BEC
0 - 1
CAB
56%
24%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAB
1 - 1
TOR
20%
24%
57%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAB
1 - 1
MIR
16%
22%
61%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AST
3 - 2
LVC
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 5
AST
48%
24%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AST
4 - 0
STM
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SDA
1 - 4
AST
59%
22%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AST
1 - 0
PAL
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |