Atl. Astorga vs La Virgen del Camino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CDB
2 - 1
AST
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SEG
1 - 4
AST
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AST
1 - 1
GRA
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
AST
1 - 2
AVI
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
AST
1 - 2
ZAM
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
La Virgen del Camino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LVC
1 - 0
SEG
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 3
LVC
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LVC
2 - 0
ACF
23%
25%
52%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +4 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
ZAM
3 - 0
LVC
68%
19%
12%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
LVC
1 - 2
CUL
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |