Atl. Astorga vs CD Villaralbo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LVC
1 - 1
AST
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AST
3 - 1
SEG
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AST
2 - 1
RCF
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
COM
4 - 1
AST
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AST
1 - 1
LEA
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villaralbo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 4
UNI
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CEB
3 - 1
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CER
2 - 1
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
CER
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAB
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |