Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-5
Atl. Astorga vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
51.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
ACF
3 - 2
AST
74%
17%
10%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
AST
1 - 2
PON
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
VDB
1 - 2
AST
51%
26%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
AST
4 - 0
CIU
68%
20%
13%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
BÉJ
1 - 0
AST
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
OSA
1 - 1
VAD
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
VAD
2 - 3
FCB
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1981 |
ESP
3 - 1
VAD
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
VAD
2 - 0
CAS
68%
20%
11%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
VCF
3 - 0
VAD
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |