Atl. Astorga vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PON
2 - 1
AST
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AST
0 - 1
SPB
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
IZA
2 - 0
AST
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AST
2 - 0
PEÑ
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 1
AST
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 0
RAC
14%
24%
63%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
COX
1 - 4
SOM
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 1
RCF
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
SOM
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SOM
3 - 4
LEA
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |