Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Atl. Astorga vs Salamanca UDS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 1
AST
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AST
3 - 1
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
AST
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
UNA
0 - 3
AST
26%
25%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AST
3 - 1
PON
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Salamanca UDS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 1
AST
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 0
AVI
47%
26%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 0
SAL
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AVI
0 - 1
SAL
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 0
UNA
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |