Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 3-1
Atl. Astorga vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 1
AST
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
AST
2 - 3
AVI
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SPB
0 - 1
AST
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 2
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AST
0 - 1
OVI
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 0
TRO
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 0
SPB
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SPB
0 - 1
AST
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 2
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 1
SPB
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |