Atl. Astorga vs Numancia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 2
AST
11%
20%
70%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
AST
4 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LVC
1 - 1
AST
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AST
3 - 1
SEG
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AST
2 - 1
RCF
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 1
UNI
24%
20%
56%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CEB
1 - 3
NUM
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NUM
7 - 0
SDA
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SJO
3 - 0
NUM
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SEG
1 - 2
NUM
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |