Atl. Astorga vs SD Almazán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
9º
2º
47
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
AST
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AST
0 - 0
AVI
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AST
1 - 0
UNA
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
AST
27%
25%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AST
0 - 2
ACF
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
SD Almazán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SDA
2 - 1
SAL
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NUM
2 - 0
SDA
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -3 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BEC
2 - 1
SDA
20%
24%
56%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SDA
2 - 1
TOR
51%
23%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 2
SDA
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |