Atlético Aguilar vs Guardense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Aguilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
JOP
3 - 1
ATA
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 4
CDV
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 0
CAR
51%
22%
28%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 1
ATA
64%
19%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 2
CDF
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guardense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 5
CER
13%
16%
71%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
GUA
29%
20%
51%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 3
VIL
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAL
34%
24%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 3
GUA
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |