Atlètic Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
7º
3º
44
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlètic Escaldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 2
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 2
UES
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AME
1 - 4
ATL
16%
21%
62%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 1
ESA
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
ATL
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 0
PEN
30%
22%
48%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 3
PEN
20%
20%
60%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
UES
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
PEN
22%
21%
57%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
ATL
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |