Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
Atlètic De Ciutadella vs Sporting Mahonés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlètic De Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
MHN
4 - 0
ADC
55%
26%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ADC
2 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
BNS
2 - 2
ADC
43%
29%
28%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
ADC
2 - 2
PBL
67%
21%
12%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
UEP
1 - 0
ADC
51%
27%
22%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Mahonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
MHN
4 - 0
ADC
55%
26%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
MUR
2 - 1
MHN
49%
29%
23%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
MHN
1 - 0
CON
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
FLN
0 - 0
MHN
40%
32%
28%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
MHN
2 - 2
CDE
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |