Atlètic Amèrica vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
50.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
10º
10º
44
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
92.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlètic Amèrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
AME
48%
23%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
AME
2 - 3
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ESA
1 - 1
AME
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
PAC
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 3
AME
36%
24%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
ESA
63%
20%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
SCO
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
PEN
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
ATL
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
UEE
63%
19%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |