Atlètic Amèrica vs Esperança d'Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
10º
10º
13
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
92.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlètic Amèrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SCO
3 - 0
AME
78%
16%
7%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AME
1 - 8
ATL
12%
20%
68%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FCO
1 - 0
AME
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
6 - 0
AME
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
AME
64%
18%
17%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Esperança d'Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
PAC
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SCO
6 - 1
ESA
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UES
6 - 0
ESA
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 5
ATL
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 4
ESA
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |