Atlètic Amèrica vs Carroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
10º
10º
12
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
92.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlètic Amèrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AME
0 - 3
INT
7%
16%
77%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AME
1 - 4
ATL
16%
21%
62%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
INT
6 - 0
AME
78%
15%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
FCO
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SCO
4 - 0
AME
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SCO
2 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 2
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
PEN
22%
21%
57%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
8 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |