Atlas Delmenhorst vs VfL Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
15º
8º
11
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
17 | 72 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 63 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 62 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 62 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 50 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 47 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 47 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 41 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 40 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 40 |
15º
|
6% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 39 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 24 |
18º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas Delmenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AHA
1 - 1
ADF
30%
24%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ADF
2 - 3
SCH
62%
19%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HEE
1 - 1
ADF
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ADF
0 - 1
GER
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 2
ADF
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
VfL Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VFL
2 - 4
EIB
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 1
VFL
16%
18%
67%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VFL
2 - 2
BOR
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LUP
0 - 0
VFL
51%
23%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 1
VER
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |