Atlantico vs Moca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
8º
2º
28
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlantico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 1
AFC
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
AFC
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 4
AFC
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
DEP
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
AFC
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MOC
0 - 1
CFC
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
MOC
1 - 0
SCR
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
MOC
1 - 0
RFC
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
MOC
46%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MOC
2 - 0
JAR
46%
29%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |