Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlante FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 2
TIG
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
QRO
0 - 2
ATL
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 2
MOR
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PAC
0 - 0
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 0
JAG
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 2
TOL
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 1
QRO
81%
13%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 4
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAC
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |