Atlante FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlante FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
PAC
3 - 2
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ATL
0 - 2
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CAZ
5 - 3
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ATL
4 - 5
VER
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
SNL
2 - 2
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUM
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
JAG
1 - 0
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MOR
3 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
MOR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
ATS
59%
21%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |