UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 1-1
Atlantas vs Kocaelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlantas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
KOC
0 - 1
ATL
39%
23%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
ATL
2 - 0
FKE
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2000 |
DAI
1 - 3
ATL
16%
23%
62%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
INK
1 - 4
ATL
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2000 |
NEV
1 - 2
ATL
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
KOC
0 - 1
ATL
39%
23%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
BUR
2 - 0
KOC
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2000 |
KOC
1 - 1
ANT
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
GAL
5 - 0
KOC
80%
14%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
KOC
0 - 0
ADA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |