Atlanta vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
SMA
1 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
SLO
1 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ATL
4 - 4
ALV
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
RIV
3 - 3
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
ATL
0 - 1
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
QUI
1 - 1
ALV
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
RIV
3 - 0
QUI
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
QUI
2 - 1
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
SMA
2 - 1
QUI
39%
23%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
QUI
1 - 0
SLO
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |