Atlanta vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
25.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 0
ATL
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
EST
31%
31%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ALM
3 - 1
ATL
46%
28%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
CHA
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 0
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
ESP
65%
21%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
DAL
3 - 0
MER
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
BRO
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
MER
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
FEN
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |