Atlanta vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRO
4 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
COL
54%
26%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATL
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
ATL
36%
29%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -3 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MER
4 - 2
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
MER
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
ALM
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
MER
32%
28%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
FEN
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |