Atlanta vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
SLO
5 - 3
ATL
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
ATL
0 - 5
RIV
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1936 |
TAL
5 - 5
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1936 |
ATL
6 - 0
GLP
45%
22%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1936 |
RAC
1 - 4
ATL
77%
14%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
VEL
6 - 1
PLA
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
VEL
8 - 1
TIG
85%
10%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1936 |
SLO
4 - 0
VEL
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1936 |
VEL
1 - 4
RIV
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1936 |
TAL
2 - 2
VEL
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |