Atlanta vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
GBR
3 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
GIM
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
ATL
60%
25%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
RIV
18%
27%
55%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
GLP
27%
30%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
GLP
41%
30%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 4
BUC
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BUC
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
DES
63%
23%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAT
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |