Atlanta United II vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
RGV
3 - 2
AFC
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 4
BLE
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 2
TAM
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
AFC
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MEM
1 - 1
LOU
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 2
LOU
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
OKC
1 - 1
LOU
12%
20%
68%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
HAA
2 - 4
LOU
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 1
TUL
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |