Atl. Catania vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAT
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 4
GIU
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BEN
4 - 0
CAT
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 1
ARZ
31%
27%
41%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
AVE
2 - 2
FIA
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVE
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
AVE
2 - 0
JUS
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 0
AVE
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
AVE
0 - 0
ANC
31%
28%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |