Atl. Catania vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
BEN
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ARZ
3 - 1
CAT
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 0
CAT
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
ANC
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARZ
27%
26%
46%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FIA
2 - 2
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 1
ANC
13%
22%
65%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
NOC
4 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
19%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 3
GIU
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |