Atl. Catania vs Gualdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 2
ASC
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAT
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
BEN
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gualdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
GUA
1 - 3
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
GIU
2 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAT
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CRO
3 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
9%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 0
LOD
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |