Atl. Catania vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
60.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAT
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
LOD
42%
26%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
JUS
2 - 1
CAT
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAS
24%
27%
50%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
FIA
0 - 1
CAT
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
56%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CRO
4 - 0
GIU
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LOD
0 - 3
CRO
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
VIT
1 - 0
CRO
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |