Atl. Catania vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAT
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
BEN
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ARZ
3 - 1
CAT
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
ASC
1 - 2
ARZ
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
NOC
1 - 1
ASC
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ASC
2 - 1
JUS
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASC
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
2 - 3
ASC
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |