Atl. Catania vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 1
CAT
86%
11%
4%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAT
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
NOC
2 - 1
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 4
CRO
16%
24%
61%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FIA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
PAL
2 - 0
ARZ
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
NOC
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 1
ARZ
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ARZ
1 - 2
LOD
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |