Atibaia vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 2
ATI
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
ATI
2 - 2
TAU
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ATI
0 - 3
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATI
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ATI
1 - 1
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
TAU
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
SAO
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATI
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
TAU
3 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |