Atibaia vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
ATI
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
TAU
2 - 0
ATI
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ATI
1 - 0
JUV
31%
24%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
ATI
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ATI
3 - 1
TUP
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SER
3 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 3
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
INT
18%
25%
57%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
PRI
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |