Atibaia vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
TAB
1 - 4
ATI
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
ITU
3 - 0
ATI
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ATI
1 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
ATI
0 - 1
AUD
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 1
ATI
30%
26%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUD
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
TAB
2 - 3
NAC
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
ITU
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |