Atibaia vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
ATI
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
ATI
26%
22%
52%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 0
MAT
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 0
SER
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 1
ATI
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 2
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
INT
1 - 0
NAC
29%
27%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |