Atibaia vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 1
ATI
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
ATI
2 - 0
OLI
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ATI
0 - 1
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
PAU
1 - 0
ATI
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ATI
1 - 1
DES
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAB
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |