Atibaia vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATI
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATI
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 2
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 2
ATI
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
CAT
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
DES
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DES
1 - 1
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DES
4 - 3
ECN
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ECN
1 - 2
DES
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |