Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
9º
4º
56
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 0
SHR
14%
22%
65%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
LON
48%
22%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 3
SHE
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
MUT
2 - 3
ATH
6%
11%
83%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
SPS
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 1
WEX
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
WEX
4 - 4
SHE
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EFC
5 - 0
WEX
5%
14%
81%
|
54 | 12 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BRW
1 - 0
WEX
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COB
1 - 1
WEX
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |