First Division Playoffs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Athlone Town vs Waterford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 0
LON
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FIN
4 - 1
ATH
29%
23%
47%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
BRW
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GAL
6 - 0
ATH
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 1
ATH
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 0
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 1
WAT
11%
18%
71%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
GAL
3 - 1
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 0
WEX
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
WAT
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |