Europa League 1/16
Global 0-3
Athlone Town vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
VIF
1 - 1
ATH
77%
13%
10%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1975 |
ATH
3 - 1
VIF
45%
22%
33%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
38%
26%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
ACM
15%
25%
60%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 0
EVE
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
ACM
12%
21%
68%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |