Athlone Town vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
40
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FIN
4 - 1
ATH
29%
23%
47%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
BRW
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GAL
6 - 0
ATH
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 1
ATH
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 1
KEF
91%
7%
2%
|
52 | 8 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LON
2 - 2
BRW
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
COB
2 - 0
LON
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LON
2 - 3
TRE
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
WEX
2 - 0
LON
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
WAT
15%
23%
62%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |