Athlone Town vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
10
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COB
1 - 0
ATH
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
ATH
79%
14%
8%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 2
WEX
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LON
2 - 3
ATH
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
4 - 1
FIN
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 0
LON
8%
16%
76%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 3
BRW
6%
12%
83%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 1
KEF
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 1
DRO
6%
11%
83%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
WEX
3 - 2
KEF
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 52 | 43 | 0 |