Athlone Town vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
37
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LON
1 - 3
ATH
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
DRO
2 - 0
ATH
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 2
SLR
14%
19%
66%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 3
SHE
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
4 - 2
ATH
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 2
GAL
28%
27%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SLR
2 - 0
FIN
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DER
6 - 0
FIN
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 0
FIN
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DRO
2 - 0
FIN
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |