Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
44
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GAL
6 - 0
ATH
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 1
ATH
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 1
KEF
91%
7%
2%
|
52 | 8 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COB
1 - 0
ATH
36%
25%
40%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
ATH
79%
14%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 1
COB
26%
25%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WEX
2 - 1
BRW
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 2
TRE
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BRW
1 - 4
GAL
9%
21%
70%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 3
BRW
6%
12%
83%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |