Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-9
Athletic Futbol Club de Pal vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 1
RAC
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
SEV
2 - 1
FCB
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
HER
1 - 2
FCB
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 2
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |